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Championship

Referee: A Woolmer

Derby

T T S T T

0–4

Full-time

Blackburn

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Blackburn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,2

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

This season — Championship · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

5,0

Scored

0,5

3,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 23

5 Shots on target 10

5 Blocked shots 8

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Derby 21. · Blackburn 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Swansea	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Watford	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Reading	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Bristol City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Luton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Sheffield Weds	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Norwich	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Millwall	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+4	3
12	Brentford	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	QPR	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Rotherham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Huddersfield	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Preston	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Middlesbrough	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	Derby	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Barnsley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Nott'm Forest	3	0	0	3	-5	0
24	Wycombe	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Reading	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	QPR	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Luton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Millwall	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Derby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Wycombe	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Reading	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Luton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.