La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Alaves
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Granada
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 |
Betis
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 |
Celta
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 5 |
Valencia
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Osasuna
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Getafe
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Cadiz
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 9 |
Sociedad
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 10 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Eibar
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Huesca
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 |
Valladolid
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 |
Levante
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Ath Bilbao
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
F. Lejeune
D
Ximo Navarro
D
Pere Pons
M
Luis Rioja
M
Coach: Pablo Machín
David Soria
G
D. Dakonam
D
Cucurella
M
M. Olivera
D
J. Hernández
F
Coach: José Bordalás
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Granada
Alaves
Alaves
Betis
Alaves
Barcelona
Betis
Alaves
Alaves
Getafe
Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.