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Bundesliga

Referee: D Schlager

Mainz

T S S T T

1–4

Full-time

Stuttgart

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Stuttgart

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

3,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mainz 15. · Stuttgart 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
10	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.