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Premiership

Referee: D Munro

St Mirren

U T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Premiership · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

0,6

1,4

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%

6 Shots 5

0 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 12

5 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Mirren 10. · Kilmarnock 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	8	6	2	0	+15	20
2	Celtic	7	6	1	0	+15	19
3	Hibernian	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Aberdeen	6	4	0	2	+0	12
5	Ross County	8	3	2	3	-4	11
6	Dundee United	8	3	1	4	-7	10
7	Kilmarnock	8	2	2	4	+0	8
8	Motherwell	8	2	2	4	-2	8
9	Livingston	9	2	2	5	-4	8
10	St Mirren	8	2	1	5	-7	7
11	ST Johnstone	9	2	1	6	-7	7
12	Hamilton	7	2	0	5	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Celtic	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Kilmarnock	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Livingston	5	2	1	2	-1	7
5	Aberdeen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
6	Hibernian	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Motherwell	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Dundee United	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	St Mirren	4	1	1	2	-3	4
10	Ross County	4	1	1	2	-5	4
11	ST Johnstone	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Hamilton	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hibernian	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Celtic	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Rangers	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Ross County	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Aberdeen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Hamilton	4	2	0	2	-3	6
7	Dundee United	4	2	0	2	-6	6
8	Motherwell	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	ST Johnstone	5	1	1	3	-5	4
10	St Mirren	4	1	0	3	-4	3
11	Livingston	4	0	1	3	-3	1
12	Kilmarnock	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.