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Süper Lig

Referee: Tugay Kaan Numanoglu

Kayserispor

U T T S T

1–3

Full-time

Erzurumspor

S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Erzurumspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

3,0

Scored

0,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%

12 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 12. · Erzurumspor 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Galatasaray	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Alanyaspor	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Goztep	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Besiktas	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Antalyaspor	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Hatayspor	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Fenerbahce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Kasimpasa	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Erzurumspor	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sivasspor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Kayserispor	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Gaziantep	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Trabzonspor	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Genclerbirligi	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Denizlispor	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Ankaragücü	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Rizespor	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Buyuksehyr	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Goztep	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Antalyaspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hatayspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Kasimpasa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Kayserispor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Gaziantep	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Besiktas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Denizlispor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Genclerbirligi	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Ankaragücü	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Erzurumspor	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Trabzonspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sivasspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Buyuksehyr	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Alanyaspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Galatasaray	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Fenerbahce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Erzurumspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sivasspor	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Karagumruk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Goztep	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Antalyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Trabzonspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Konyaspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hatayspor	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Kasimpasa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Gaziantep	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Kayserispor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Genclerbirligi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Rizespor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Denizlispor	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Buyuksehyr	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.