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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Betis
T T T S S
2–3
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
0,0
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 8
9 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 2. · Real Madrid 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Betis 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Sociedad 3 1 2 0 +3 5
4 Valencia 3 1 1 1 +1 4
5 Villarreal 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Celta 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Getafe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Osasuna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Huesca 3 0 2 1 -2 2
11 Real Madrid 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Alaves 3 0 1 2 -2 1
14 Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Levante 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Elche 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Real Madrid
Emerson 🟨
12′
14′
F. Valverde 0–1
K. Benzema
1–1 A. Mandi
Canales
35′
2–1 William Carvalho
N. Fekir
37′
Guido Rodríguez 🟨
40′
42′
🟨 Daniel Carvajal
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 L. Modrić
↦ T. Kroos
46′
🔁 Isco
↦ M. Ødegaard
48′
Emerson 3–1
own goal
53′
🟨 Luka Modrić
Tello 🔁
↦ Joaquín
63′
Emerson 🟥
67′
Martín Montoya 🔁
↦ A. Sanabria
69′
72′
🔁 Borja Mayoral
↦ L. Jović
Loren Morón 🔁
↦ N. Fekir
73′
80′
ℹ️ Borja Mayoral
VAR: Goal cancelled
Marc Bartra 🟨
81′
82′
Sergio Ramos 3–2
Sergio Canales 🟨
84′
Aïssa Mandi 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Joel Robles G
23 A. Mandi D
5 Marc Bartra D
15 Álex Moreno D
22 Emerson D
17 Joaquín M
10 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Rodríguez M
8 N. Fekir M
19 A. Sanabria F
Bench (11)
11 Tello
2 Martín Montoya
16 Loren Morón
12 Sidnei
30 Dani Rebollo
32 Fran Delgado
7 Juanmi
9 Borja Iglesias
4 P. Akouokou
24 Aitor Ruibal
6 Víctor Ruíz

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Real Madrid

4-3-1-2
1 T. Courtois G
4 Sergio Ramos D
2 Carvajal D
5 R. Varane D
23 F. Mendy D
8 T. Kroos M
14 Casemiro M
21 M. Ødegaard M
15 F. Valverde M
9 K. Benzema F
18 L. Jović F
Bench (10)
10 L. Modrić
22 Isco
16 Borja Mayoral
13 A. Lunin
20 Vinícius Júnior
19 Odriozola
26 Diego Altube
27 Rodrygo
17 Lucas Vázquez
6 Nacho

Coach: Z. Zidane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,16
U
3,80
B ✓
1,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.