Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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M'gladbach
Union Berlin
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 |
Bayern Munich
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 3 |
| 3 |
Dortmund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Augsburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 |
Hertha
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Hoffenheim
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Freiburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Bielefeld
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 10 |
Wolfsburg
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 11 |
Leverkusen
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
FC Koln
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Stuttgart
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Union Berlin
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Werder Bremen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 17 |
M'gladbach
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |
Schalke 04
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Y. Sommer
G
S. Lainer
D
M. Ginter
D
N. Elvedi
D
R. Bensebaini
D
J. Hofmann
M
F. Neuhaus
M
A. Plea
F
M. Thuram
M
Coach: M. Rose
C. Trimmel
M
N. Schlotterbeck
D
R. Andrich
M
G. Prömel
M
S. Becker
F
T. Awoniyi
F
M. Bülter
F
Coach: U. Fischer
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Dortmund
M'gladbach
M'gladbach
Hertha
Paderborn
M'gladbach
M'gladbach
Wolfsburg
Bayern Munich
M'gladbach
T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.