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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
M'gladbach
T S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Union Berlin
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 17. · Union Berlin 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Hertha 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Leverkusen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 FC Koln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Union Berlin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 M'gladbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

M'gladbach Union Berlin
Ramy Bensebaini 🟨
11′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Thuram
J. Hofmann
56′
57′
🔁 M. Kruse
↦ T. Awoniyi
57′
🔁 M. Ingvartsen
↦ S. Becker
64′
🟨 Christopher Trimmel
O. Wendt 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
70′
73′
🔁 C. Teuchert
↦ M. Bülter
73′
🔁 J. Ryerson
↦ C. Trimmel
H. Wolf 🔁
↦ A. Plea
75′
79′
N. Schlotterbeck 1–1
M. Ingvartsen
P. Herrmann 🔁
↦ F. Neuhaus
85′
88′
🔁 S. Griesbeck
↦ G. Prömel
90′
🟨 Robert Andrich
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

M'gladbach

4-2-3-1
1 Y. Sommer G
18 S. Lainer D
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaini D
13 L. Stindl M
6 C. Kramer M
23 J. Hofmann M
32 F. Neuhaus M
14 A. Plea F
10 M. Thuram M
Bench (8)
17 O. Wendt
11 H. Wolf
7 P. Herrmann
21 T. Sippel
16 I. Traoré
43 R. Reitz
24 T. Jantschke
3 M. Lang

Coach: M. Rose

Union Berlin

3-4-2-1
1 A. Luthe G
28 C. Trimmel M
31 R. Knoche D
25 C. Lenz M
5 M. Friedrich D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
30 R. Andrich M
21 G. Prömel M
27 S. Becker F
14 T. Awoniyi F
15 M. Bülter F
Bench (9)
10 M. Kruse
32 M. Ingvartsen
36 C. Teuchert
6 J. Ryerson
33 S. Griesbeck
8 J. Mees
23 N. Gießelmann
19 F. Hübner
35 L. Moser

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,44
U ✓
4,61
B
7,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.