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Bundesliga
Referee: M Petersen
Augsburg
S T U T S
2–0
Full-time
Dortmund
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
83%
0%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+3,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

20% Possession 80%
6 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 11
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 4. · Dortmund 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Hertha 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Leverkusen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 FC Koln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Union Berlin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 M'gladbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Dortmund
Michael Gregoritsch 🟨
29′
Rani Khedira 🟨
30′
30′
🟨 Erling Braut Haaland
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 🟨
31′
38′
🟨 Thomas Meunier
1–0 F. Uduokhai
D. Caligiuri
40′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 D. Caligiuri
F. Niederlechner
54′
F. Jensen 🔁
↦ M. Gregoritsch
57′
59′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ Raphaël Guerreiro
60′
🔁 M. Reus
↦ J. Bellingham
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
62′
R. Oxford 🔁
↦ R. Khedira
63′
69′
🔁 Reinier
↦ T. Meunier
71′
🟨 Axel Witsel
76′
🟨 Emre Can
83′
🔁 M. Dahoud
↦ A. Witsel
T. Strobl 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
92′
M. Suchý 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-2-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
32 R. Framberger D
19 F. Uduokhai D
22 Iago D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn M
25 C. Gruezo M
8 R. Khedira M
11 M. Gregoritsch F
7 F. Niederlechner F
Bench (9)
24 F. Jensen
27 A. Finnbogason
36 R. Oxford
33 T. Strobl
5 M. Suchý
3 M. Pedersen
23 M. Richter
2 R. Gumny
40 T. Koubek

Coach: H. Herrlich

Dortmund

3-1-4-2
1 R. Bürki G
15 M. Hummels D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro M
16 M. Akanji D
28 A. Witsel M
24 T. Meunier M
23 E. Can D
7 J. Sancho F
32 G. Reyna M
22 J. Bellingham M
9 E. Håland F
Bench (8)
19 J. Brandt
11 M. Reus
20 Reinier
8 M. Dahoud
27 M. Wolf
6 T. Delaney
35 M. Hitz
30 F. Passlack

Coach: L. Favre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,99
U
4,82
B
1,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.