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Bundesliga
Referee: F Ouschan
Ried
S T
1–3
Full-time
Salzburg
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,0
5,2
Scored
2,0
4,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,2
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,5
Scored
2,0
3,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ried 5. · Salzburg 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 St. Polten 2 1 1 0 +5 4
3 SK Rapid 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 LASK 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Ried 2 1 0 1 +0 3
6 Wolfsberger AC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Austria Vienna 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Sturm Graz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Tirol 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Hartberg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
11 Altach 2 0 1 1 -3 1
12 Admira 2 0 0 2 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ried Salzburg
Half-time 0–1
46′
M. Berisha 0–1
A. Ulmer
M. Şatin 🔁
↦ C. Reiner
46′
47′
🟨 Mohamed Camara
53′
M. Berisha 0–2
63′
🔁 D. Szoboszlai
↦ N. Oka
63′
🔁 P. Daka
↦ S. Koïta
S. Paintsil 🔁
↦ B. Gschweidl
65′
B. Takougnadi 🔁
↦ M. Kerhe
65′
73′
🔁 R. Kristensen
↦ M. Wöber
73′
🔁 K. Adeyemi
↦ M. Berisha
J. Wießmeier 🔁
↦ M. Ziegl
80′
V. Grubeck 🔁
↦ D. Offenbacher
80′
1–2 J. Wießmeier
V. Grubeck
83′
84′
🔁 P. Farkas
↦ A. Ulmer
90′
🟨 Rasmus Kristensen
97′
P. Daka 1–3
M. Ashimeru
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ried

3-4-1-2
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
28 T. Reifeltshammer D
3 M. Kerhe M
5 M. Lercher M
6 C. Reiner D
2 L. Meisl D
4 M. Ziegl M
11 D. Offenbacher F
16 M. Lackner M
9 B. Gschweidl F
17 M. Grüll F
Bench (7)
20 M. Şatin
30 S. Paintsil
31 B. Takougnadi
10 J. Wießmeier
29 V. Grubeck
22 S. Nutz
34 D. Daniliuc

Coach: G. Baumgartner

Salzburg

4-2-2-2
1 C. Stanković G
17 A. Ulmer D
5 A. Vallci D
6 J. Onguéné D
39 M. Wöber D
4 M. Ashimeru M
77 N. Okafor M
19 M. Camara M
21 L. Sučić M
8 M. Berisha F
7 S. Koïta F
Bench (7)
14 D. Szoboszlai
20 P. Daka
43 R. Kristensen
27 K. Adeyemi
25 P. Farkas
45 E. Mwepu
31 Carlos

Coach: J. Marsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Ouschan · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.