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Premiership
Referee: A Muir
Hamilton
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Dundee United
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamilton Dundee United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
This season — Premiership · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 41%
43%
38%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 5
5 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamilton 12. · Dundee United 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 8 6 2 0 +15 20
2 Celtic 7 6 1 0 +15 19
3 Hibernian 8 5 2 1 +8 17
4 Aberdeen 6 4 0 2 +0 12
5 Ross County 8 3 2 3 -4 11
6 Dundee United 8 3 1 4 -7 10
7 Kilmarnock 8 2 2 4 +0 8
8 Motherwell 8 2 2 4 -2 8
9 Livingston 9 2 2 5 -4 8
10 St Mirren 8 2 1 5 -7 7
11 ST Johnstone 9 2 1 6 -7 7
12 Hamilton 7 2 0 5 -7 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamilton Dundee United
4′
L. Shankland 0–1
A. Spörle
37′
🟨 Calum Butcher
Scott Martin 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–1
R. Callachan 🔁
↦ R. Mimnaugh
46′
M. Ogkmpoe 🔁
↦ A. Winter
46′
54′
🔁 M. Connolly
↦ A. Spörle
J. Hamilton 🔁
↦ L. Hodson
62′
67′
🔁 P. Pawlett
↦ L. Chalmers
74′
🔁 D. Powers
↦ C. Butcher
1–1 H. Odoffin
D. Templeton
75′
Jamie Hamilton 🟨
79′
C. Smith 🔁
↦ T. Owolabi
82′
Hakeem Odofin 🟨
84′
W. Collar 🔁
↦ K. Munro
85′
Ross Callachan 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hamilton

3-4-1-2
23 R. Fulton G
27 L. Hodson M
3 S. McMann D
2 H. Odoffin D
12 S. Want D
21 K. Munro M
10 D. Templeton F
8 S. Martin M
18 R. Mimnaugh M
19 A. Winter F
36 T. Owolabi F
Bench (9)
34 R. Callachan
9 M. Ogkmpoe
6 J. Hamilton
32 C. Smith
7 W. Collar
37 J. Johnson
14 C. Trafford
22 K. Gourlay
20 D. Moyo

Coach: B. Rice

Dundee United

4-4-2
1 B. Siegrist G
6 M. Reynolds D
12 R. Edwards D
3 A. Spörle M
17 J. Robson D
18 C. Butcher M
20 L. Bolton D
23 I. Harkes M
10 N. Clark F
24 L. Shankland F
15 L. Chalmers M
Bench (9)
5 M. Connolly
8 P. Pawlett
4 D. Powers
26 C. Mochrie
30 L. Neilson
7 P. McMullan
19 D. Mehmet
11 C. Smith
27 L. Appéré

Coach: M. Mellon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,57
U ✓
3,38
B
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,07
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Muir · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.