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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Mechelen
U T T U T
2–0
Full-time
St Truiden
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
0%
71%
Points per game
0,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
4 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
28 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 13. · St Truiden 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 7 5 1 1 +3 16
2 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
3 Antwerp 8 4 3 1 +4 15
4 Waregem 7 4 1 2 +10 13
5 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 4 1 2 +1 13
6 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +5 10
7 Beveren 7 2 3 2 +5 9
8 Kortrijk 8 2 3 3 -3 9
9 Genk 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Anderlecht 5 2 2 1 +1 8
11 Lokeren 7 2 1 4 -4 7
12 Gent 5 1 1 3 -1 4
13 Mechelen 7 0 4 3 -4 4
14 Eupen 7 1 1 5 -14 4
15 Standard 4 0 2 2 -5 2
16 Oostende 8 0 2 6 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen St Truiden
Mats Rits 🟨
9′
1–0 B. Bandé
Y. Croizet
11′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 R. Bezus
↦ J. Legear
69′
🔁 J. Botaka
↦ Vetokele
2–0 B. Bandé
M. Rits
74′
Rob Schoofs 🟨
77′
S. Dražić 🔁
↦ S. Ganvoula
81′
83′
🔁 K. Abrahams
↦ H. Harisis
Edin Cocalić 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Yohan Boli
L. Paulussen 🔁
↦ T. Matthys
87′
Edin Cocalić 🟨
90′
Edin Cocalić 🟥
90′
H. Smolders 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
26 C. Coosemans G
4 S. De Witte D
15 E. Cocalić D
63 F. Rherras D
22 E. Cobbaut D
7 T. Matthys M
11 M. Rits M
16 R. Schoofs
10 Y. Croizet M
35 S. Ganvoula F
27 B. Bandé F
Bench (7)
99 S. Dražić
2 L. Paulussen
30 H. Smolders
9 N. Pedersen
28 A. Swolfs
55 Ž. Filipović
77 G. Claes

Coach: Y. Ferrera

St Truiden

4-4-2
21 L. Pirard G
23 S. Kotysch D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
15 S. Kitsiou D
6 S. De Petter M
27 J. Legear F
8 H. Harisis M
24 C. De Norre D
5 A. De Sart M
14 Vetokele F
11 Y. Boli F
Bench (7)
10 R. Bezus
7 J. Botaka
25 K. Abrahams
1 K. Steppe
12 S. Asamoah
18 F. Antunes
20 D. Dussaut

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.