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Referee: C Dierick

Royal Excel Mouscron

S T T S U

0–1

Full-time

Mechelen

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,0

This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

5 Corners 5

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 11. · Mechelen 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Waasland-Beveren	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Beerschot VA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Standard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Antwerp	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Anderlecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Eupen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Mouscron	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Waregem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Oostende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Club Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Standard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Antwerp	2	0	2	0	+0	2
4	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Waregem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Oostende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Mouscron	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Club Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waasland-Beveren	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Genk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Beerschot VA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Charleroi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Anderlecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Mouscron	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Eupen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Gent	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.