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Pro League
Referee: A Boucaut
Genk
S S U U T
3–1
Full-time
Mechelen
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 16. · Mechelen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 6 6 0 0 +10 18
2 Anderlecht 8 4 4 0 +8 16
3 Standard 7 5 1 1 +6 16
4 Kortrijk 8 4 1 3 +3 13
5 Club Brugge 6 4 0 2 +14 12
6 Beerschot VA 6 4 0 2 +2 12
7 Waregem 8 4 0 4 -3 12
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Antwerp 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Mechelen 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Cercle Brugge 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Gent 6 2 0 4 -2 6
13 Eupen 5 1 3 1 -3 6
14 Oostende 5 1 2 2 +0 5
15 St Truiden 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Genk 4 1 2 1 -2 5
17 Waasland-Beveren 6 1 0 5 -9 3
18 Beveren 6 1 0 5 -9 3
19 Mouscron 6 0 2 4 -6 2
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Mechelen
6′
K. Mrabti 0–1
G. Engvall
1–1 P. Onuachu
J. Mæhle
10′
45′
🟨 Joachim Van Damme
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Ito
G. Arteaga
55′
56′
🔁 N. Storm
↦ K. Mrabti
66′
🔁 M. Shved
↦ R. Schoofs
3–1 P. Onuachu
J. Ito
68′
73′
🔁 W. Togui
↦ G. Engvall
D. Wouters 🔁
↦ P. Hrošovský
79′
E. Kouassi 🔁
↦ J. Lucumí
85′
M. Dæhli 🔁
↦ B. Toma
85′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 D. Vuković G
33 J. Lucumí D
31 J. Mæhle D
5 G. Arteaga D
23 D. Muñoz D
17 P. Hrošovský M
11 B. Toma M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
24 L. Oyen M
18 P. Onuachu F
7 J. Ito
Bench (7)
4 D. Wouters
38 E. Kouassi
20 M. Dæhli
16 E. Sierra-Cappelleti
2 C. De Norre
9 C. Dessers
26 M. Vandevoordt

Coach: D. Olivieri

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
1 G. Coucke G
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
29 I. Kaboré D
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
10 I. de Camargo F
19 K. Mrabti M
20 G. Engvall F
Bench (7)
11 N. Storm
35 M. Shved
9 W. Togui
7 G. Hairemans
6 R. Bushiri
15 Y. Thoelen
2 J. Van Cleemput

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,68
U
3,98
B
4,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Boucaut · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.