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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Benfica

U S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Moreirense

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

6,0

2,0

Scored

5,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%

29 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 2. · Moreirense 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santa Clara	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
7	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Farense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Sp Braga	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Farense	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.