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Pro League
Referee: Kevin van Damme
St Truiden
S T S T T
0–3
Full-time
Mechelen
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 40%
32%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
52%
74%
Both score Ø 55%
52%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

9 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 8
2 Corners 6
16 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 10. · Mechelen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 31 23 7 1 +47 76
2 Gent 30 18 7 5 +32 61
3 Charleroi 31 16 10 5 +28 58
4 Standard 31 16 7 8 +21 55
5 Antwerp 30 15 8 7 +19 53
6 Genk 31 15 6 10 +10 51
7 Mechelen 31 15 5 11 +7 50
8 Anderlecht 30 10 12 8 +7 42
9 Waregem 31 12 6 13 +4 42
10 St Truiden 31 10 6 15 -14 36
11 Kortrijk 31 10 5 16 -7 35
12 Mouscron 27 8 9 10 -2 33
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 27 8 9 10 -2 33
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -25 30
15 Cercle Brugge 31 8 4 19 -25 28
16 Oostende 31 6 5 20 -30 23
17 Waasland-Beveren 27 5 5 17 -35 20
18 Beveren 27 5 5 17 -35 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Mechelen
Half-time 0–0
63′
🔁 D. Vanzeir
↦ J. Van Damme
69′
🔁 W. Togui
↦ I. de Camargo
Pol García 🔁
↦ K. Matsubara
71′
72′
🟨 Aster Vranckx
Alan Sousa 🔁
↦ F. Colidio
74′
Santiago Colombatto 🟨
77′
79′
R. Schoofs 0–1
G. Hairemans
Samuel Asamoah 🟨
81′
82′
D. Vanzeir 0–2
J. Botaka 🔁
↦ S. Asamoah
83′
Christopher Durkin 🟨
86′
89′
🔁 A. Corryn
↦ G. Hairemans
Allan Sousa 🟨
90′
94′
R. Bushiri 1–2
own goal
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-3-1-2
1 K. Steppe G
20 S. Mmaee D
2 K. Matsubara D
3 R. Bushiri D
12 S. Asamoah M
32 C. Durkin M
5 S. Colombatto M
10 Lee Seung-Woo F
8 I. Sankhon M
9 Y. Suzuki F
18 F. Colidio F
Bench (7)
4 Pol García
50 Alan Sousa
7 J. Botaka
19 S. Van Dessel
23 T. Ito
35 T. Herbots
26 Jorge Teixeira

Coach: M. Kostič

Mechelen

4-1-4-1
1 B. Castro G
5 A. Swinkels D
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
29 I. Kabore D
7 G. Hairemans M
13 J. Van Damme M
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
10 I. de Camargo F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
31 D. Vanzeir
9 W. Togui
22 A. Corryn
4 S. Bateau
30 J. Vanlerberghe
2 J. Van Cleemput
12 S. Bouzian

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,00
U
3,51
B ✓
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin van Damme · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.