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Primeira Liga
Referee: André Narciso
Maritimo
S U T U T
2–1
Full-time
Tondela
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

24% Possession 76%
8 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Maritimo 13. · Tondela 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santa Clara 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Benfica 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Porto 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Moreirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Nacional 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 Boavista 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Portimonense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Tondela 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Rio Ave 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Guimaraes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Maritimo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Farense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Sp Braga 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Famalicao 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Feb -20 Tondela – Maritimo 0–0 25. Aug -19 Maritimo – Tondela 2–3 28. Apr -19 Maritimo – Tondela 2–0 22. Dec -18 Tondela – Maritimo 2–1 17. Mar -18 Tondela – Maritimo 1–2

Match report

Maritimo Tondela
Jean 🟨
27′
1–0 Rodrigo Pinho ⚽
Fábio China
34′
Fabio China 🟥
41′
43′
⚽ Pedro Augusto 1–1
Marcelo Hermes 🔁
↦ Jean Cleber
44′
2–1 Rodrigo Pinho ⚽
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🟨 Bebeto
46′
🔁 N. Khacef
↦ Pedro Augusto
46′
🔁 João Mendes
↦ Filipe Ferreira
60′
🟨 João Pedro
Marcelo Hermes 🟨
65′
Edgar Costa 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 J. Murillo
↦ Bebeto
D. Kerkez 🔁
↦ Edgar Costa
76′
79′
🔁 Telmo Arcanjo
↦ Rafael Barbosa
79′
🔁 Rúben Fonseca
↦ T. Štrkalj
Claudio Winck 🟨
85′
J. Correa 🔁
↦ Getterson
97′
Pedro Pelágio 🔁
↦ Jean
97′
J. Tagueu 🔁
↦ Rodrigo Pinho
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Maritimo

4-4-2
1 A. Abedzadeh G
5 Zainadine Júnior D
2 Cláudio Winck D
25 Renê D
31 Nanu M
45 Fábio China D
16 Jean Cleber M
6 Jean M
12 Edgar Costa M
10 Getterson F
9 Rodrigo Pinho F
Bench (9)
86 Marcelo Hermes
15 D. Kerkez
8 J. Correa
60 Pedro Pelágio
95 J. Tagueu
7 R. Guitane
17 Milson
94 Charles
13 D. Moreno

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Tondela

4-4-2
99 B. Niasse G
23 Yohan Tavares D
2 Bebeto D
20 Filipe Ferreira D
34 Ricardo Alves D
8 João Pedro M
70 Rafael Barbosa F
14 Jaume Grau M
6 Pedro Augusto M
7 Salvador Agra M
11 T. Štrkalj F
Bench (9)
24 N. Khacef
16 João Mendes
10 J. Murillo
80 Telmo Arcanjo
9 Rúben Fonseca
5 João Jaquité
19 Tiago Almeida
4 Jota Gonçalves
88 Pedro Trigueira

Coach: Pako Ayestarán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
🔒
U
3,11
🔒
B
3,35
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,38
🔒
U2,5
1,56
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

André Narciso · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.