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Pro League

Referee: Wim Smet

Mechelen

T S S S S

1–2

Full-time

St Truiden

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,3

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 39%

57%

21%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

79%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

64%

36%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 4. · St Truiden 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	10	3	0	+26	33
2	Standard	14	9	3	2	+20	30
3	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	Mechelen	14	8	3	3	+6	27
5	Genk	14	8	2	4	+9	26
6	Gent	13	7	3	3	+11	24
7	Antwerp	12	7	2	3	+11	23
8	Waregem	13	5	5	3	+6	20
9	Mouscron	13	4	5	4	+0	17
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	13	4	5	4	+0	17
11	Anderlecht	14	3	6	5	-1	15
12	Kortrijk	14	4	2	8	-2	14
13	St Truiden	14	3	5	6	-11	14
14	Eupen	15	3	5	7	-16	14
15	Oostende	14	3	2	9	-13	11
16	Cercle Brugge	15	2	2	11	-22	8
17	Beveren	12	1	4	7	-16	7
18	Waasland-Beveren	13	1	4	8	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Gent	7	7	0	0	+17	21
3	Genk	7	6	0	1	+5	18
4	Antwerp	6	5	1	0	+12	16
5	Waregem	6	4	1	1	+10	13
6	Charleroi	7	4	1	2	+0	13
7	Club Brugge	6	3	3	0	+11	12
8	Kortrijk	7	3	2	2	+6	11
9	Mouscron	6	3	2	1	+4	11
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+1	11
12	Anderlecht	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	St Truiden	8	1	5	2	-1	8
14	Cercle Brugge	9	2	2	5	-8	8
15	Oostende	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Eupen	7	0	4	3	-7	4
17	Waasland-Beveren	6	1	1	4	-10	4
18	Beveren	6	1	1	4	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	7	0	0	+15	21
2	Mechelen	8	5	1	2	+5	16
3	Charleroi	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Eupen	8	3	1	4	-9	10
5	Genk	7	2	2	3	+4	8
6	Standard	6	2	2	2	+3	8
7	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Waregem	7	1	4	2	-4	7
9	Anderlecht	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	Mouscron	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	St Truiden	6	2	0	4	-10	6
13	Oostende	7	1	1	5	-9	4
14	Gent	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Beveren	6	0	3	3	-6	3
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	-8	3
17	Waasland-Beveren	7	0	3	4	-8	3
18	Cercle Brugge	6	0	0	6	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.