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Ligue 2
Toulouse
T T T U U
3–1
Full-time
Auxerre
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Auxerre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 4
5 Corners 5
23 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Toulouse 17. · Auxerre 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Niort 4 3 1 0 +3 10
2 Grenoble 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 Paris FC 4 3 0 1 +3 9
4 Caen 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Sochaux 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Dunkerque 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Troyes 4 2 0 2 +2 6
8 Valenciennes 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Clermont 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Le Havre 4 2 0 2 +0 6
11 Auxerre 4 2 0 2 -1 6
12 Rodez 4 1 2 1 -2 5
13 Nancy 4 1 1 2 +0 4
14 Amiens 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Chateauroux 4 1 1 2 -1 4
16 Guingamp 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Toulouse 4 0 2 2 -3 2
18 Chambly 4 0 2 2 -4 2
19 Pau FC 4 0 1 3 -6 1
20 Ajaccio 3 0 0 3 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,38
U
2,86
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,55
U2,5
1,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.