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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Zurich
T T T U T
2–2
Full-time
Lugano
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,8
This season — Super League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%
27 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Jul -20 Lugano – Zurich 1–0 28. Jun -20 Zurich – Lugano 1–0 20. Oct -19 Lugano – Zurich 0–0 21. Jul -19 Zurich – Lugano 0–4

Match report

Zurich Lugano
4′
🟨 Sandi Lovrić
9′
⚽ A. Gerndt 0–1
S. Lovric
26′
🟨 Jonathan Sabbatini
1–1 L. Sobiech ⚽
A. Marchesano
37′
Half-time 1–1
53′
🟨 Jonathan Sabbatini
53′
🟥 Jonathan Sabbatini
B. Kramer 🔁
↦ A. Ceesay
62′
A. Tosin 🔁
↦ F. Rohner
62′
62′
🔁 S. Guidotti
↦ S. Lovric
73′
🔁 M. Čovilo
↦ M. Bottani
73′
🔁 F. Holender
↦ A. Gerndt
2–1 A. Marchesano ⚽
S. Wallner
76′
A. Winter 🔁
↦ S. Wallner
79′
H. Koide 🔁
↦ M. Schönbächler
79′
86′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ Adrià Guerrero
87′
🔁 J. Ardaiz
↦ O. Custodio
Nathan 🔁
↦ A. Marchesano
88′
Nathan 🟨
89′
91′
⚽ S. Guidotti 2–2
M. Marić
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
5 L. Sobiech D
19 T. Schättin D
23 F. Rohner M
4 B. Omeragić D
42 S. Wallner D
27 M. Schönbächler M
10 A. Marchesano M
14 T. Domgjoni M
35 S. Sohm M
9 A. Ceesay F
Bench (7)
18 B. Kramer
15 A. Tosin
7 A. Winter
43 H. Koide
3 Nathan
33 S. Seiler
1 Ž. Kostadinović

Coach: L. Magnin

Lugano

3-5-1-1
58 S. Osigwe G
5 M. Marić D
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 Á. Kecskés D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Custodio M
24 S. Lovric M
19 A. Gerndt F
10 M. Bottani F
Bench (7)
22 S. Guidotti
6 M. Čovilo
11 F. Holender
77 R. Macek
23 J. Ardaiz
76 L. Soldini
25 M. Ošs

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.