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Süper Lig
Referee: Huseyin Gocek
Hatayspor
S U
1–0
Full-time
Kasimpasa
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hatayspor Kasimpasa
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hatayspor 8. · Kasimpasa 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Karagumruk 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Galatasaray 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Alanyaspor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 Erzurumspor 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Goztep 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Besiktas 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Antalyaspor 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Hatayspor 2 1 1 0 +2 4
9 Fenerbahce 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Kasimpasa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Sivasspor 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Kayserispor 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Konyaspor 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Gaziantep 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Trabzonspor 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Genclerbirligi 2 0 1 1 -2 1
17 Yeni Malatyaspor 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Denizlispor 2 0 1 1 -4 1
19 Ankaragücü 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Rizespor 2 0 0 2 -3 0
21 Buyuksehyr 3 0 0 3 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hatayspor Kasimpasa
36′
🟨 Aytaç Kara
Mesut Çaytemel 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 O. Haddadi
↦ D. Pavelka
Mame Biram Diouf 🟨
50′
1–0 M. Diouf ⚽
G. Karadeniz
57′
70′
🔁 A. Oğuz
↦ F. Hadërgjonaj
70′
🔁 M. Tirpan
↦ L. Sadiku
70′
🔁 Y. Dülger
↦ K. Varga
74′
🟨 Tarkan Serbest
A. Boupendza 🔁
↦ M. Diouf
77′
A. Canlı 🔁
↦ Noss Traoré
77′
90′
🟨 Ahmet Oğuz
J. Billong 🔁
↦ G. Karadeniz
92′
B. Çamoglu 🔁
↦ Hélder Barbosa
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
16 M. Çaytemel D
90 S. Popov D
55 Y. Abdioğlu D
14 Pablo D
7 Hélder Barbosa M
10 S. Ilgaz M
8 R. Aabid M
28 Noss Traoré M
11 G. Karadeniz M
92 M. Diouf F
Bench (10)
9 A. Boupendza
23 A. Canlı
6 J. Billong
2 B. Çamoglu
34 A. Alkan
3 A. Katranis
20 M. Aydın
61 M. Emir
41 J. Akomadi
4 S. Örnek

Coach: M. Sönmez

Kasimpasa

4-3-3
1 R. Köse G
25 T. Břečka D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
8 D. Pavelka M
6 L. Sadiku M
35 A. Kara M
5 T. Serbest D
11 Y. Erdoğan D
10 H. Hajradinović F
21 K. Varga F
20 Alan Cariús F
Bench (7)
3 O. Haddadi
17 A. Oğuz
24 M. Tirpan
55 Y. Dülger
22 E. Canpolat
23 M. Yıldırım
33 E. Taşkıran

Coach: M. Altıparmak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,55
🔒
U
3,40
🔒
B
2,63
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,84
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,95
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Huseyin Gocek · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.