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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Mechelen
S U U S S
2–3
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

21 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 8
14 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 2. · Cercle Brugge 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 3 3 0 0 +3 9
2 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Waregem 4 2 0 2 +3 6
4 Beerschot VA 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Anderlecht 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Genk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Kortrijk 4 1 1 2 -3 4
9 Club Brugge 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Cercle Brugge 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Waasland-Beveren 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Beveren 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Antwerp 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Eupen 3 0 2 1 -4 2
17 Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Gent 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Oostende 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Cercle Brugge
29′
🟨 Johanna Ochieng Omolo
1–0 W. Togui ⚽
37′
Half-time 1–1
54′
⚽ I. Ugbo 1–1
K. Hoggas
57′
⚽ D. Hotič 1–2
J. Taravel
O. Kaya 🔁
↦ N. Storm
63′
I. de Camargo 🔁
↦ G. Hairemans
63′
2–2 A. Vranckx ⚽
64′
67′
🔁 T. Somers
↦ I. Ugbo
Aster Vranckx 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 A. Gory
↦ K. Hazard
76′
🟨 Jeremy Taravel
80′
⚽ T. Somers 2–3
Igor De Camargo 🟨
82′
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ R. Bushiri
82′
Onur Kaya 🟨
88′
Lucas Bijker 🟨
90′
92′
🔁 A. Corryn
↦ D. Velkovski
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 G. Coucke G
3 L. Bijker D
23 T. Peyre D
6 R. Bushiri D
29 I. Kaboré D
7 G. Hairemans M
13 J. Van Damme
16 R. Schoofs M
40 A. Vranckx M
11 N. Storm F
9 W. Togui F
Bench (7)
8 O. Kaya
10 I. de Camargo
30 J. Vanlerberghe
12 S. Bouzian
2 J. Van Cleemput
14 S. Voet
35 M. Shved

Coach: W. Vrancken

Cercle Brugge

4-3-3
1 T. Didillon G
4 J. Taravel D
5 N. Ueda D
19 D. Velkovski D
8 R. Decostere D
15 J. Omolo M
20 K. Hoggas M
14 C. Vanhoutte M
10 D. Hotič F
7 K. Hazard F
22 I. Ugbo F
Bench (7)
34 T. Somers
28 A. Gory
25 A. Corryn
3 D. Bates
2 Vitinho
21 Warleson
6 A. Deuro

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,79
U
3,75
B ✓
4,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,65
U2,5
2,22
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.