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2. Bundesliga
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Wurzburger Kickers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-3,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
5 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 11
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 14. · Wurzburger Kickers 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Erzgebirge Aue 2 1 1 0 +3 4
2 Osnabruck 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hannover 2 1 0 1 +1 3
5 Sandhausen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Greuther Furth 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 St Pauli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Regensburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Paderborn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Wurzburger Kickers 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,86
B
4,70
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.