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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Moreirense

S U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Benfica

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

2,8

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 57%

33%

80%

Points per game

1,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 37%

33%

40%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,6

Conceded

0,8

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

6 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 10

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 9. · Benfica 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	6	5	0	1	+13	15
2	Famalicao	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+11	12
4	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Tondela	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Boavista	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Sp Lisbon	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Santa Clara	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Moreirense	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Guimaraes	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Setubal	5	1	3	1	-3	6
12	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	3	1	-3	6
13	Gil Vicente	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Belenenses	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Portimonense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Maritimo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Sp Braga	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Pacos Ferreira	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Aves	6	1	0	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
3	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Gil Vicente	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Guimaraes	3	1	2	0	+4	5
7	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Setubal	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Maritimo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Portimonense	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Belenenses	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tondela	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Sp Lisbon	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Sp Braga	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Gil Vicente	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Aves	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.