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Primeira Liga
Referee: Rui Costa
Moreirense
U U S U S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,2
4,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 32%
30%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
33%
52%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 6
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Moreirense 9. · Pacos Ferreira 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 33 26 4 3 +54 82
2 Benfica 34 23 6 5 +41 75
3 Sp Lisbon 32 19 5 8 +20 62
4 Sp Braga 33 18 5 10 +22 59
5 Famalicao 34 16 10 8 +6 58
6 Rio Ave 34 16 9 9 +12 57
7 Guimaraes 34 13 11 10 +16 50
8 Gil Vicente 34 12 10 12 -2 46
9 Moreirense 33 10 14 9 +4 44
10 Santa Clara 34 11 10 13 -5 43
11 Boavista 34 11 8 15 -8 41
12 Maritimo 34 9 13 12 -7 40
13 Pacos Ferreira 33 11 4 18 -17 37
14 Portimonense 34 6 14 14 -16 32
15 Tondela 34 7 10 17 -19 31
16 Belenenses 32 8 7 17 -27 31
17 Setubal 32 6 12 14 -18 30
18 Vitoria Setubal 32 6 12 14 -18 30
19 Aves 34 6 2 26 -38 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moreirense Pacos Ferreira
1–0 S. Vitória
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Marco Baixinho
↦ Maracás
46′
🔁 Zé Uilton
↦ Jorge Silva
46′
🔁 Adriano Castanheira
↦ Luíz Carlos
I. Camara 🟨
58′
59′
🟨 D. Tanque
Alex Soares 🔁
↦ I. Camará
63′
L. Singh 🔁
↦ Luís Machado
63′
66′
🔁 Denílson
↦ Hélder Ferreira
Pedro Nuno 🔁
↦ Gabrielzinho
72′
Fábio Abreu 🔁
↦ Nenê
72′
73′
🟨 M. Diaby
75′
Marco Baixinho 1–1
João Amaral
80′
🟨 Ze Uilton
Filipe Soares 🔁
↦ Fábio Pacheco
80′
82′
🟨 R. Ribeiro
86′
🟨 M. Baixinho
86′
🔁 Vasco Rocha
↦ Douglas Tanque
A. Soares 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Moreirense

4-1-4-1
88 Pedro Trigueira G
19 S. Vitória D
23 R. Halliche D
2 João Aurélio D
20 Djavan D
6 Fábio Pacheco M
90 Gabrielzinho M
77 Nuno Santos M
8 I. Camará M
7 Nenê F
70 Luís Machado M
Bench (9)
26 Alex Soares
22 L. Singh
27 Pedro Nuno
29 Fábio Abreu
21 Filipe Soares
5 A. D'Alberto
16 Sori Mané
14 Mateus Pasinato
3 L. Rosić

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Pacos Ferreira

4-2-3-1
87 Ricardo Ribeiro G
44 Marcelo D
21 Jorge Silva D
26 Maracás D
5 O. Reabciuk D
22 Luíz Carlos M
10 Pedrinho M
42 João Amaral M
24 M. Diaby M
99 Douglas Tanque F
17 Hélder Ferreira M
Bench (9)
2 Marco Baixinho
9 Zé Uilton
20 Adriano Castanheira
7 Denílson
29 Vasco Rocha
4 André Micael
13 Bruno Santos
23 Marco Sousa
6 Bruno Teles

Coach: Pepa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,60
U ✓
3,07
B
2,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rui Costa · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.