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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Benfica

S S U S T

1–3

Full-time

Moreirense

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benfica Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 51%

63%

38%

Points per game

2,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,9

0,8

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

67% Possession 33%

21 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benfica 3. · Moreirense 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	8	6	0	2	+12	18
2	Sp Braga	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Benfica	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Rio Ave	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Sp Lisbon	8	5	1	2	+6	16
6	Santa Clara	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Vitoria Setubal	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Guimaraes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Belenenses	8	2	4	2	-1	10
10	Portimonense	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Maritimo	8	3	1	4	-4	10
12	Moreirense	8	3	1	4	-7	10
13	Feirense	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Boavista	8	2	1	5	-6	7
15	Chaves	8	2	1	5	-6	7
16	Tondela	8	1	3	4	-2	6
17	Nacional	8	1	2	5	-10	5
18	Aves	8	1	1	6	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Rio Ave	4	4	0	0	+5	12
4	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Portimonense	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Maritimo	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Moreirense	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Vitoria Setubal	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Feirense	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	Tondela	5	1	2	2	+0	5
13	Guimaraes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Aves	4	1	1	2	+1	4
15	Chaves	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Belenenses	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Boavista	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Nacional	4	0	0	4	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	4	2	2	0	+4	8
2	Benfica	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	Santa Clara	4	2	1	1	+3	7
4	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Guimaraes	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Belenenses	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Rio Ave	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Vitoria Setubal	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Nacional	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Sp Lisbon	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Boavista	5	1	1	3	-4	4
12	Feirense	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
14	Portimonense	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Chaves	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Moreirense	4	1	0	3	-7	3
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Aves	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.