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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
3–1
Full-time
Den Haag
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,3
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 22%
19%
24%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
52%
57%
Both score Ø 46%
43%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 18. · Den Haag 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 21 17 3 1 +44 54
2 Ajax 21 15 4 2 +30 49
3 PSV Eindhoven 21 13 7 1 +23 46
4 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +7 33
5 Heerenveen 19 9 5 5 +13 32
6 Utrecht 18 8 6 4 +6 30
7 Twente 21 8 6 7 +1 30
8 AZ Alkmaar 19 7 8 4 +6 29
9 Heracles 22 6 7 9 -7 25
10 Nijmegen 22 6 7 9 -14 25
11 Groningen 20 5 8 7 -1 23
12 Zwolle 22 6 5 11 -20 23
13 Willem II 21 5 7 9 -10 22
14 Sparta Rotterdam 21 4 6 11 -10 18
15 Excelsior 21 4 6 11 -15 18
16 Roda 22 2 11 9 -15 17
17 Den Haag 21 5 2 14 -21 17
18 Go Ahead Eagles 21 4 4 13 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles Den Haag
1–0 S. Hendriks
J. Antonia
38′
44′
🟨 Wilfried Kanon
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Havenaar
↦ G. Fernandez
46′
🔁 S. Becker
↦ R. Schaken
2–0 S. Hendriks
L. Marengo
57′
67′
🔁 A. El Khayati
↦ R. Wolters
73′
🟥 Ernestas Šetkus
R. Achenteh 🔁
↦ L. Marengo
78′
Rochdi Achenteh 🟨
85′
86′
A. El Khayati 2–1
N. Nieveld 🔁
↦ D. Crowley
89′
3–1 M. Ritzmaier
N. Nieveld
90′
J. Suk 🔁
↦ S. Hendriks
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-3-3
1 T. Zwarthoed
3 S. Fischer D
4 X. Schenk D
32 J. Groenbast D
6 S. Duits M
24 M. Ritzmaier M
7 D. Crowley M
29 Chirivella M
77 J. Antonia F
11 L. Marengo F
19 S. Hendriks F
Bench (8)
35 R. Achenteh
23 N. Nieveld
8 J. Suk
21 G. Werkhoven
27 P. Maneschijn
13 E. Cummins
22 D. Hettinga
5 L. Rexhepi

Coach: H. de Koning

Den Haag

4-3-3
1 E. Šetkus G
2 D. Malone M
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
3 T. Meißner D
5 W. Kanon D
28 T. Ebuehi D
12 T. Trybull M
21 E. Duplan F
11 R. Wolters F
20 R. Schaken F
19 G. Fernandez F
Bench (11)
9 M. Havenaar
77 S. Becker
23 A. El Khayati
6 A. El Mahdioui
8 A. Meijers
14 D. Gorter
17 D. Bakker
22 R. Zwinkels
24 R. de Boer
27 T. David
30 J. Schouten

Coach: A. Groenendijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.