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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
For Sittard
S U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Heerenveen
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,5
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 26%
15%
37%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
75%
42%
Both score Ø 62%
70%
53%
Average goals
3,6
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 17. · Heerenveen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 20 15 3 2 +56 48
2 PSV Eindhoven 20 15 1 4 +22 46
3 Feyenoord 20 13 3 4 +27 42
4 Twente 20 11 5 4 +9 38
5 Utrecht 20 10 5 5 +12 35
6 AZ Alkmaar 18 10 2 6 +11 32
7 Vitesse 18 10 2 6 -2 32
8 Cambuur 21 9 3 9 -8 30
9 Nijmegen 20 7 5 8 -5 26
10 Heerenveen 19 7 4 8 -6 25
11 Groningen 20 5 7 8 -6 22
12 Waalwijk 20 5 7 8 -8 22
13 Go Ahead Eagles 20 6 4 10 -12 22
14 Heracles 20 5 5 10 -5 20
15 Willem II 20 5 3 12 -21 18
16 Sparta Rotterdam 20 2 8 10 -15 14
17 For Sittard 20 3 4 13 -29 13
18 Zwolle 20 3 3 14 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Heerenveen
1–0 Z. Flemming
14′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 A. Sarr
↦ F. Stevanović
67′
🔁 T. van 't Loo
↦ A. Musaba
67′
🔁 D. Nunumete
↦ R. Kaib
C. Benschop 🔁
↦ T. Tekie
68′
2–0 Z. Flemming
M. Seuntjens
70′
N. Lonwijk 🔁
↦ D. Siovas
73′
Ben Rienstra 🟨
77′
82′
🔁 A. Tahiri
↦ R. Al Hajj
82′
🔁 H. Akujobi
↦ M. van Ewijk
Martin Angha 🟨
86′
J. Botaka 🔁
↦ M. Tirpan
90′
93′
🟨 Thom Haye
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

For Sittard

3-4-1-2
1 Y. van Osch G
33 D. Siovas D
2 M. Angha D
25 M. Tirpan M
35 G. Cox M
22 A. Samaris D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 M. Seuntjens F
14 T. Tekie F
6 D. Duarte M
8 Z. Flemming F
Bench (12)
9 C. Benschop
18 N. Lonwijk
17 J. Botaka
28 R. Johansson
41 T. Hendriks
77 T. Noslin
29 R. Musaba
19 A. Ferati
32 F. Dornebusch
4 R. Janssen
11 P. Gladon
7 Lisandro Semedo

Coach: S. Ultee

Heerenveen

4-3-3
22 X. Mous G
5 L. Woudenberg D
14 I. Drešević D
13 R. Kaib D
27 M. van Ewijk D
6 S. de Jong F
33 T. Haye M
29 N. Madsen M
17 R. Al Hajj M
11 A. Musaba F
7 F. Stevanović F
Bench (11)
9 A. Sarr
37 T. van 't Loo
35 D. Nunumete
26 A. Tahiri
18 H. Akujobi
23 J. Bekkema
16 A. van der Heide
1 E. Mulder
34 T. Zaal
30 S. Shopov
19 J. Ras

Coach: O. Tobiasen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,72
U
3,51
B
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,71
U2,5 ✓
2,13
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.