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Eredivisie

Referee: L Gerrets

Heerenveen

T T S S U

1–0

Full-time

For Sittard

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

17 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 5. · For Sittard 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Nijmegen	5	2	2	1	-2	8
4	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Willem II	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Cambuur	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	-6	6
10	Groningen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Waalwijk	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Twente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Go Ahead Eagles	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Zwolle	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Cambuur	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Nijmegen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	For Sittard	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Twente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Waalwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Groningen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Vitesse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Heracles	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	-3	6
3	Willem II	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Nijmegen	3	1	1	1	-4	4
7	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Utrecht	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Cambuur	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Twente	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.