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Eredivisie
Referee: J van der Laan
For Sittard
T S T U T
2–0
Full-time
Heerenveen
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 31%
24%
38%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
59%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
65%
38%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
16 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 8
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 13. · Heerenveen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 18 12 3 3 +16 39
2 Feyenoord 17 11 5 1 +25 38
3 PSV Eindhoven 18 11 2 5 +22 35
4 Twente 16 10 4 2 +20 34
5 Ajax 17 9 6 2 +27 33
6 Sparta Rotterdam 16 9 4 3 +15 31
7 Heerenveen 16 6 6 4 +2 24
8 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 -2 23
9 Nijmegen 17 4 10 3 +5 22
10 Waalwijk 17 4 7 6 -4 19
11 Go Ahead Eagles 17 4 7 6 -4 19
12 Excelsior 17 6 1 10 -19 19
13 For Sittard 17 4 4 9 -11 16
14 Vitesse 18 3 7 8 -14 16
15 FC Emmen 18 3 6 9 -17 15
16 Groningen 17 3 3 11 -18 12
17 Volendam 17 3 3 11 -24 12
18 Cambuur 17 2 3 12 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard Heerenveen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Úmaro Embaló
B. Yılmaz
58′
63′
🔁 R. Kaib
↦ A. Colassin
63′
🔁 S. van Hooijdonk
↦ S. Olsson
72′
🟨 Amin Sarr
T. Noslin 🔁
↦ Úmaro Embaló
79′
81′
🔁 R. Al Hajj
↦ A. Tahiri
George Cox 🟨
88′
Deroy Duarte 🔁
↦ O. Özyakup
89′
D. Siovas 🔁
↦ G. Cox
89′
S. Radić 🔁
↦ Ximo Navarro
94′
2–0 B. Yılmaz
98′
Full-time 2–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,00
U
3,37
B
2,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.