Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Twente
Vitesse
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | +56 | 48 |
| 2 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
21 | 15 | 1 | 5 | +21 | 46 |
| 3 |
Feyenoord
|
20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | +27 | 42 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | +9 | 38 |
| 5 |
Utrecht
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +12 | 35 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | +12 | 35 |
| 7 |
Vitesse
|
18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 |
Cambuur
|
21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 |
Nijmegen
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -5 | 27 |
| 10 |
Heerenveen
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 |
Groningen
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -6 | 22 |
| 12 |
Waalwijk
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 |
Heracles
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 20 |
| 15 |
Willem II
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -21 | 18 |
| 16 |
For Sittard
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -27 | 16 |
| 17 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -15 | 14 |
| 18 |
Zwolle
|
21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | -20 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Willem II
Twente
Twente
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Twente
Zwolle
Twente
Twente
Waalwijk
D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.