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La Liga
Referee: Jesús Gil
Barcelona
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,2
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
3,5
2,0
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Betis 5 3 0 2 +1 9
3 Sociedad 5 2 2 1 +5 8
4 Villarreal 5 2 2 1 -1 8
5 Getafe 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Valencia 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 Cadiz 5 2 1 2 -1 7
8 Granada 4 2 1 1 -2 7
9 Osasuna 4 2 0 2 +1 6
10 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 0 +5 5
11 Celta 5 1 2 2 -4 5
12 Eibar 5 1 1 3 -2 4
13 Huesca 5 0 4 1 -2 4
14 Elche 3 1 1 1 -2 4
15 Alaves 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Levante 4 1 0 3 -3 3
17 Ath Bilbao 4 1 0 3 -3 3
18 Valladolid 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Sevilla
8′
L. de Jong 0–1
1–1 Philippe Coutinho
10′
Half-time 1–1
Trincão 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
61′
Pedri 🔁
↦ Ansu Fati
61′
61′
🔁 Y. En-Nesyri
↦ L. Ocampos
61′
🔁 Munir
↦ Suso
S. Dest 🔁
↦ Jordi Alba
75′
M. Pjanić 🔁
↦ Philippe Coutinho
75′
Miralem Pjanić 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 N. Gudelj
↦ I. Rakitić
84′
🔁 Carlos Fernández
↦ L. de Jong
84′
🔁 Óliver Torres
↦ Joan Jordán
87′
🟨 Nemanja Gudelj
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 Neto G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto D
30 R. Araújo D
5 Busquets M
14 Philippe Coutinho M
21 F. de Jong M
10 L. Messi F
7 A. Griezmann M
22 Ansu Fati M
Bench (12)
17 Trincão
16 Pedri
2 S. Dest
8 M. Pjanić
11 O. Dembélé
36 Arnau Tenas
32 S. Ramos
26 Iñaki Peña
28 Riqui Puig
6 Carles Aleñá
19 M. Braithwaite
29 K. De La Fuente

Coach: R. Koeman

Sevilla

4-3-3
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Navas D
20 Diego Carlos D
12 J. Koundé D
10 I. Rakitić M
25 Fernando M
5 L. Ocampos F
19 M. Acuña D
7 Suso F
8 Joan Jordán M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (12)
15 Y. En-Nesyri
11 Munir
6 N. Gudelj
24 Carlos Fernández
21 Óliver Torres
18 Escudero
14 Óscar Rodríguez
17 Alejandro Pozo
1 T. Vaclík
31 Javi Díaz
22 F. Vázquez
3 Sergi Gómez

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,62
U ✓
4,22
B
5,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.