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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

S T U S U

2–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

0,5

2,0

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 4

9 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 10. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	3	2	0	1	+4	6
2	Hamburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Sandhausen	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Osnabruck	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Bochum	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Regensburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Erzgebirge Aue	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	St Pauli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Nurnberg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Holstein Kiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Heidenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Greuther Furth	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Paderborn	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Braunschweig	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Wurzburger Kickers	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Karlsruhe	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sandhausen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Heidenheim	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Regensburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Osnabruck	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Bochum	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Darmstadt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Erzgebirge Aue	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Osnabruck	2	0	2	0	+0	2
5	Greuther Furth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Regensburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Holstein Kiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	Paderborn	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Karlsruhe	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.