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LaLiga2
2–0
Full-time
Leganes
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Castellon Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 10
17 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Castellon 12. · Leganes 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Fuenlabrada 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Ponferradina 4 3 0 1 +5 9
4 Sp Gijon 3 3 0 0 +4 9
5 Vallecano 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Leganes 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 Malaga 4 2 0 2 -4 6
9 Alcorcon 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Las Palmas 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Mirandes 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Castellon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Oviedo 4 0 3 1 -2 3
14 Tenerife 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Lugo 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Zaragoza 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Logrones 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Cartagena 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Albacete 4 0 1 3 -6 1
20 Sabadell 3 0 0 3 -3 0
21 Girona 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,45
U
2,86
B
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,50
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.