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Serie A

Referee: F Pasqua

Atalanta

U S T S S

5–2

Full-time

Cagliari

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,5

2,0

Scored

4,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 7

14 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 9

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Atalanta 3. · Cagliari 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
16	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Roma	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Parma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-6	0
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.