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Ligue 1

Referee: S Frappart

Lyon

S U T U U

1–1

Full-time

Marseille

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Marseille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

20%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,0

2,4

Scored

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

24 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

19 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lyon 15. · Marseille 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Lille	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Lens	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+9	12
5	Montpellier	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	St Etienne	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Nice	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Bordeaux	6	2	3	1	+4	9
10	Brest	6	3	0	3	-2	9
11	Angers	6	3	0	3	-7	9
12	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+2	8
13	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+0	8
14	Metz	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Lyon	5	1	3	1	+2	6
16	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Lorient	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Strasbourg	6	1	0	5	-9	3
19	Reims	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Dijon	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Bordeaux	4	1	3	0	+3	6
8	Metz	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Brest	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	St Etienne	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Angers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
12	Nice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
13	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
14	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
15	Lorient	3	1	1	1	+1	4
16	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Marseille	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Reims	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Lille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Lens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Nice	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Monaco	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Brest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	-7	3
13	Lyon	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Reims	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Metz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-5	0
19	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.