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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Charleroi
S S S U U
1–2
Full-time
Standard
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 69%
75%
63%
Points per game
2,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
25%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

7 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 8
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 1. · Standard 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 8 6 2 0 +10 20
2 Beerschot VA 9 6 0 3 +0 18
3 Anderlecht 9 4 5 0 +8 17
4 Standard 8 5 2 1 +6 17
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 5 2 2 +3 17
6 Club Brugge 7 5 0 2 +15 15
7 Antwerp 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Kortrijk 10 4 2 4 +1 14
9 Waregem 10 4 1 5 -4 13
10 Cercle Brugge 8 4 0 4 +1 12
11 Genk 8 2 5 1 +0 11
12 Mechelen 7 3 1 3 -2 10
13 Gent 8 3 0 5 +1 9
14 Eupen 8 1 5 2 -4 8
15 Oostende 6 1 3 2 +0 6
16 St Truiden 8 1 3 4 -7 6
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
19 Mouscron 7 0 3 4 -6 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 7 0 3 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Standard
32′
🟨 Abdoul Tapsoba
36′
🔁 D. Čop
↦ J. Muleka
44′
🟨 Selim Amallah
Half-time 0–0
Shamar Nicholson 🟨
46′
M. Diagne 🔁
↦ S. Willems
46′
60′
🔁 M. Balikwisha
↦ A. Tapsoba
72′
🟨 Zinho Vanheusden
79′
M. Balikwisha 0–1
D. Čop
84′
N. Raskin 0–2
S. Amallah
K. Nkuba 🔁
↦ A. Gholizadeh
85′
D. Henen 🔁
↦ G. Gillet
85′
87′
🔁 E. Shamir
↦ S. Amallah
1–2 M. Fall
R. Morioka
87′
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 N. Penneteau G
24 D. Dessoleil D
23 S. Willems D
12 J. Kayembe F
30 G. Gillet M
44 R. Morioka M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
27 M. Fall F
8 A. Gholizadeh F
10 K. Rezaei F
16 S. Nicholson F
Bench (7)
5 M. Diagne
28 K. Nkuba
7 D. Henen
40 R. Descamps
2 I. Goranov
22 G. Hendrickx
19 Lucas Ribeiro Costa

Coach: K. Belhocine

Standard

4-3-3
16 A. Bodart G
6 N. Dussenne D
24 N. Gavory D
20 M. Bokadi M
21 C. Fai D
3 Z. Vanheusden D
8 G. Cimirot M
19 S. Amallah M
26 N. Raskin M
17 J. Muleka F
23 A. Tapsoba F
Bench (7)
7 D. Čop
32 M. Balikwisha
15 E. Shamir
5 M. Sissako
33 D. Pavlovic
30 L. Henkinet
10 M. Carcela-González

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,30
U
3,27
B ✓
3,06
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.