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Süper Lig
Referee: Atilla Karaoglan
Alanyaspor
S S S S U
6–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
17%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,2
1,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

59% Possession 41%
24 Shots 4
15 Shots on target 0
0 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
6 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 3. · Hatayspor 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 4 2 2 0 +2 8
2 Karagumruk 4 2 1 1 +4 7
3 Alanyaspor 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Galatasaray 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Hatayspor 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Erzurumspor 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Antalyaspor 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Goztep 4 1 3 0 +4 6
9 Kayserispor 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Konyaspor 3 1 2 0 +3 5
11 Trabzonspor 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Besiktas 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Sivasspor 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 4 1 1 2 -4 4
15 Kasimpasa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
16 Gaziantep 4 0 3 1 -2 3
17 Rizespor 4 0 2 2 -3 2
18 Denizlispor 4 0 2 2 -5 2
19 Ankaragücü 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 Genclerbirligi 2 0 1 1 -2 1
21 Buyuksehyr 4 0 1 3 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Hatayspor
1–0 A. Bakasetas
18′
2–0 Davidson
23′
3–0 A. Bareiro
E. Karaca
34′
Efecan Karaca 🟨
36′
Salih Uçan 🟨
39′
40′
🟨 Rayane Aabid
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 D. Akintola
↦ Hélder Barbosa
46′
🔁 Rúben Ribeiro
↦ S. Ilgaz
4–0 F. Moubandje
Davidson
47′
49′
🟨 Pablo Santos
57′
🟨 Babajide David Akintola
63′
🔁 A. Canlı
↦ I. Sackey
5–0 Davidson
67′
K. Babacar 🔁
↦ A. Bareiro
68′
B. Kutlu 🔁
↦ S. Uçan
68′
71′
🔁 M. Aydın
↦ M. Diouf
72′
🔁 A. Boupendza
↦ G. Karadeniz
A. Gülay 🔁
↦ F. Moubandje
76′
E. Bekiroglu 🔁
↦ A. Bakasetas
76′
6–0 Davidson
K. Babacar
77′
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ Davidson
83′
Full-time 6–0

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
44 S. Caulker D
21 F. Moubandje D
24 Juanfran D
7 E. Karaca M
8 S. Uçan M
26 E. Siopis M
11 A. Bakasetas M
91 Davidson M
9 A. Bareiro F
Bench (10)
10 K. Babacar
22 B. Kutlu
3 A. Gülay
23 E. Bekiroglu
19 M. Pektemek
6 C. Gülselam
20 H. Ayaroğlu
5 F. Aksoy
1 U. Ceylan
75 T. Bingöl

Coach: S. Tokatlı

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
16 M. Çaytemel D
90 S. Popov D
55 Y. Abdioğlu D
14 Pablo D
7 Hélder Barbosa M
10 S. Ilgaz M
5 I. Sackey M
8 R. Aabid M
11 G. Karadeniz M
92 M. Diouf F
Bench (10)
17 D. Akintola
88 Rúben Ribeiro
23 A. Canlı
20 M. Aydın
9 A. Boupendza
6 J. Billong
34 A. Alkan
3 A. Katranis
2 B. Çamoglu
4 S. Örnek

Coach: M. Sönmez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,50
B
4,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Atilla Karaoglan · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,43 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.