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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Montpellier

T S S S U

0–1

Full-time

Nimes

S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

60%

20%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

100%

60%

Both score Ø 80%

100%

60%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

2,4

1,6

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

12 Shots 8

2 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Montpellier 5. · Nimes 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Lens	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+9	12
4	Lille	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Montpellier	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Monaco	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	St Etienne	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Nice	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Angers	6	3	0	3	-7	9
10	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+0	8
11	Lyon	5	1	3	1	+2	6
12	Bordeaux	5	1	3	1	+1	6
13	Brest	5	2	0	3	-3	6
14	Nimes	5	1	2	2	+1	5
15	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Lorient	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Metz	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Reims	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Dijon	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	St Etienne	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Angers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Nice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
10	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Lorient	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Metz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Bordeaux	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Marseille	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Reims	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Nice	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Brest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Angers	3	1	0	2	-7	3
12	Lyon	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Reims	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Metz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.