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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Osasuna

S U S T T

2–0

Full-time

Celta

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 17. · Celta 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	5	3	0	2	+1	9
2	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+5	8
3	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	-1	8
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Getafe	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Valencia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Cadiz	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Granada	3	2	0	1	-2	6
11	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+5	5
12	Celta	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Huesca	5	0	4	1	-2	4
15	Elche	3	1	1	1	-2	4
16	Levante	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
18	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Valladolid	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Granada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Celta	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Elche	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Betis	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Elche	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Huesca	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Levante	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Granada	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.