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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
AZ Alkmaar
S T S S S
1–1
Full-time
Zwolle
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 VVV Venlo 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Twente 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Vitesse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Ajax 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Utrecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Waalwijk 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 For Sittard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Zwolle
Albert Guðmundsson 🟨
-5′
8′
ℹ️ Dean Huiberts
VAR: Goal cancelled
9′
🟨 Mike van Duinen
Calvin Stengs 🟥
17′
38′
C. Leemans 0–1
J. Drost
40′
🟨 Dean Huiberts
Half-time 0–1
58′
🔁 E. Reijnders
↦ C. Leemans
59′
🔁 M. Saymak
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
T. Reijnders 🔁
↦ A. Guðmundsson
63′
1–1 M. Boadu
68′
F. Druijf 🔁
↦ P. Chatzidiakos
69′
71′
🟨 Bram Van Polen
74′
🟨 Thomas Lam
76′
🔁 Y. Nakayama
↦ D. Huiberts
76′
🔁 M. Pherai
↦ J. Drost
83′
🟥 Thomas Lam
Jonas Svensson 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Yuta Nakayama
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
2 J. Svensson D
22 T. Letschert D
3 P. Chatzidiakos D
15 O. Wijndal D
6 F. Midtsjø M
10 D. de Wit M
8 T. Koopmeiners M
28 A. Guðmundsson F
9 M. Boadu F
7 C. Stengs F
Bench (10)
24 T. Reijnders
14 F. Druijf
27 R. Leeuwin
55 B. Reus
16 H. Verhulst
26 Y. Sugawara
21 K. Goudmijn
17 Z. Aboukhlal
29 J. Kramer
18 H. Evjen

Coach: A. Slot

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 M. Zetterer G
2 B. van Polen D
3 T. Lam M
5 K. Paal D
31 S. van Wermeskerken D
15 S. Kersten D
11 J. Drost M
10 C. Leemans F
30 D. Huiberts M
8 R. Ghoochannejhad F
9 M. van Duinen F
Bench (10)
23 E. Reijnders
6 M. Saymak
4 Y. Nakayama
25 M. Pherai
36 M. Doue
17 D. Bajselmani
40 M. Hauptmeijer
32 J. Westerman
16 X. Mous
20 T. van den Belt

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,36
U ✓
5,08
B
7,77
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.