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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
AZ Alkmaar
S S T S S
4–0
Full-time
Den Haag
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
71%
16%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
58%
56%
Both score Ø 35%
25%
44%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
2,1
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

75% Possession 25%
16 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 2. · Den Haag 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 24 17 2 5 +43 53
2 AZ Alkmaar 24 17 2 5 +33 53
3 Feyenoord 24 13 8 3 +13 47
4 PSV Eindhoven 25 13 7 5 +25 46
5 Willem II 25 13 5 7 +5 44
6 Utrecht 24 11 5 8 +12 38
7 Vitesse 25 11 5 9 +9 38
8 Groningen 25 10 5 10 +2 35
9 Heracles 25 9 6 10 +4 33
10 Heerenveen 25 8 9 8 +2 33
11 Sparta Rotterdam 25 9 6 10 +0 33
12 FC Emmen 25 8 5 12 -16 29
13 VVV Venlo 25 8 4 13 -24 28
14 Twente 25 7 6 12 -11 27
15 Zwolle 26 7 5 14 -18 26
16 For Sittard 26 6 8 12 -23 26
17 Den Haag 25 4 7 14 -25 19
18 Waalwijk 25 4 3 18 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
Jordy Clasie 🟨
2′
1–0 T. Koopmeiners
13′
2–0 O. Wijndal
O. Idrissi
19′
Half-time 2–0
61′
🟨 Aaron Meijers
H. Evjen 🔁
↦ F. Midtsjø
67′
69′
🔁 T. Necid
↦ O. Bogle
69′
🔁 B. Ould-Chikh
↦ C. Summerville
F. Druijf 🔁
↦ M. Boadu
75′
76′
🔁 M. Duffy
↦ A. Meijers
78′
🟨 Tudor Băluță
3–0 T. Koopmeiners
84′
K. Goudmijn 🔁
↦ T. Koopmeiners
86′
4–0 F. Druijf
89′
90′
🟨 Tomáš Necid
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
27 R. Leeuwin D
2 J. Svensson D
15 O. Wijndal D
20 J. Clasie M
6 F. Midtsjø M
10 D. de Wit M
8 T. Koopmeiners D
11 O. Idrissi F
9 M. Boadu F
7 C. Stengs F
Bench (10)
18 H. Evjen
14 F. Druijf
21 K. Goudmijn
26 Y. Sugawara
28 A. Gudmundsson
16 J. Schendelaar
17 Z. Aboukhlal
5 T. Ouwejan
22 R. de Boer
29 J. Kramer

Coach: A. Slot

Den Haag

5-3-2
1 L. Koopmans G
8 A. Meijers D
12 J. Spence D
28 L. De Bock D
4 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 T. Băluţă M
26 S. Stubbs D
17 D. Bakker M
21 G. Thomas M
24 O. Bogle F
14 C. Summerville F
Bench (10)
9 T. Necid
7 B. Ould-Chikh
20 M. Duffy
15 D. Muringen
23 M. van Buren
16 L. van Kleef
77 E. Hooi
30 E. Falkenburg
22 R. Zwinkels
29 M. Kramer

Coach: A. Pardew

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,14
U
7,86
B
17,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,38
U2,5
2,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.