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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

Sparta Rotterdam

T S T U T

3–0

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

0,8

2,3

Conceded

1,7

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+2,3

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 53%

29%

76%

Points per game

1,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

71%

59%

Both score Ø 42%

59%

24%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,4

2,3

Conceded

1,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 11. · AZ Alkmaar 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	13	2	2	+37	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	17	13	2	2	+31	41
3	Willem II	17	10	2	5	+5	32
4	PSV Eindhoven	17	9	4	4	+16	31
5	Utrecht	17	9	2	6	+9	29
6	Heerenveen	18	7	7	4	+7	28
7	Feyenoord	17	7	7	3	+4	28
8	Vitesse	17	8	3	6	+5	27
9	Heracles	18	7	5	6	+5	26
10	Groningen	17	6	4	7	+1	22
11	Sparta Rotterdam	17	5	5	7	-6	20
12	Twente	18	5	4	9	-11	19
13	FC Emmen	17	5	3	9	-12	18
14	For Sittard	17	5	3	9	-19	18
15	Zwolle	17	5	1	11	-14	16
16	VVV Venlo	17	5	0	12	-24	15
17	Den Haag	17	3	4	10	-13	13
18	Waalwijk	18	3	2	13	-21	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	9	7	1	1	+16	22
2	Ajax	8	7	0	1	+24	21
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Feyenoord	9	5	3	1	+6	18
5	For Sittard	9	5	2	2	+6	17
6	FC Emmen	9	5	2	2	+6	17
7	Heracles	9	5	1	3	+10	16
8	Willem II	8	5	1	2	+5	16
9	Utrecht	8	5	0	3	+10	15
10	Heerenveen	10	3	6	1	+2	15
11	Sparta Rotterdam	8	4	2	2	+6	14
12	Vitesse	8	4	2	2	+4	14
13	Groningen	8	4	1	3	+5	13
14	VVV Venlo	9	4	0	5	-8	12
15	Twente	9	3	2	4	-2	11
16	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-3	10
17	Den Haag	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Waalwijk	9	2	1	6	-6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+13	20
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Willem II	9	5	1	3	+0	16
4	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	Heerenveen	8	4	1	3	+5	13
6	Vitesse	9	4	1	4	+1	13
7	PSV Eindhoven	9	3	3	3	+2	12
8	Feyenoord	8	2	4	2	-2	10
9	Heracles	9	2	4	3	-5	10
10	Groningen	9	2	3	4	-4	9
11	Twente	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	0	6	-8	6
13	Zwolle	9	2	0	7	-11	6
14	Sparta Rotterdam	9	1	3	5	-12	6
15	Waalwijk	9	1	1	7	-15	4
16	VVV Venlo	8	1	0	7	-16	3
17	FC Emmen	8	0	1	7	-18	1
18	For Sittard	8	0	1	7	-25	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.