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Serie A

Referee: S Sozza

Benevento

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Bologna

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Benevento Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,7

3,2

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

6,0

3,5

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

3,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

6 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 10

0 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Benevento 13. · Bologna 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Sassuolo	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Roma	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
16	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Udinese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Roma	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Parma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-6	0
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.