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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Alaves

T T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,5

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

8 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 20. · Ath Bilbao 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	5	3	0	2	+1	9
2	Sociedad	5	2	2	1	+5	8
3	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	-1	8
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Getafe	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Valencia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	6
8	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Osasuna	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Cadiz	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Granada	3	2	0	1	-2	6
12	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+5	5
13	Celta	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Huesca	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Elche	3	1	1	1	-2	4
17	Levante	3	1	0	2	-1	3
18	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	Valladolid	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Granada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Celta	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Elche	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Betis	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Elche	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Huesca	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Levante	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Celta	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Villarreal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Granada	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.