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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Strasbourg

T T T S T

0–3

Full-time

Lille

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

1,5

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

0,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,8

1,6

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,0

0,4

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Strasbourg 18. · Lille 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Lens	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+9	12
4	Lille	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Montpellier	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Monaco	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	St Etienne	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Nice	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Angers	6	3	0	3	-7	9
10	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+2	8
11	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+0	8
12	Lyon	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Bordeaux	5	1	3	1	+1	6
14	Brest	5	2	0	3	-3	6
15	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Lorient	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Metz	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Strasbourg	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Reims	5	0	1	4	-5	1
20	Dijon	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Montpellier	4	3	0	1	+5	9
2	Lens	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	St Etienne	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Angers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Nice	3	2	0	1	-1	6
10	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+2	4
12	Lorient	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Metz	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Bordeaux	3	0	3	0	+0	3
17	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Marseille	3	0	2	1	-2	2
19	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Reims	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Lille	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Lens	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Nice	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Nimes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Monaco	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Brest	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Angers	3	1	0	2	-7	3
13	Lyon	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Reims	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Metz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Nantes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Lorient	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Strasbourg	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.