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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Nacional

U T T U S

0–0

Full-time

Belenenses

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nacional Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

2,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nacional 5. · Belenenses 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Santa Clara	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Porto	3	2	0	1	+6	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Maritimo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Nacional	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Sp Braga	3	1	0	2	+1	3
10	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Famalicao	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Boavista	3	0	2	1	-5	2
14	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-4	1
12	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Gil Vicente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Farense	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.