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Premier League

Referee: C Kavanagh

Southampton

S S T T S

2–0

Full-time

West Brom

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton West Brom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,3

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,2

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

5,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

3,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

13 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Southampton 15. · West Brom 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Leicester	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Leeds	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Newcastle	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Crystal Palace	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Tottenham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	Man City	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	West Ham	3	1	0	2	+1	3
13	Man United	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Brighton	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Southampton	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Wolves	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	West Brom	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Burnley	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Fulham	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Everton	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Chelsea	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Newcastle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Man City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Everton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Man City	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Brighton	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Leeds	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Wolves	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.