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Allsvenskan
Goteborg
U T S T U
1–0
Full-time
Varberg
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Allsvenskan · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 23%
14%
32%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
59%
59%
Both score Ø 66%
68%
64%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Goteborg 13. · Varberg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 22 12 8 2 +21 44
2 Hacken 22 10 8 4 +14 38
3 Norrkoping 22 10 6 6 +13 36
4 Elfsborg 23 8 12 3 +5 36
5 Djurgarden 22 9 6 7 +7 33
6 Hammarby 23 8 9 6 +1 33
7 Sirius 21 8 8 5 +3 32
8 Mjallby 23 8 7 8 -2 31
9 Ostersunds 23 7 9 7 -2 30
10 Orebro 23 8 6 9 -4 30
11 Varberg 22 7 6 9 -2 27
12 AIK 22 7 6 9 -4 27
13 Goteborg 22 3 12 7 -9 21
14 Helsingborg 23 4 9 10 -12 21
15 Kalmar 22 4 7 11 -12 19
16 Falkenbergs 23 3 7 13 -17 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Jun -20 Varberg – Goteborg 1–2

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.