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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Aalesund
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Kristiansund
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
5%
42%
Points per game
0,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
79%
74%
Both score Ø 82%
79%
84%
Average goals
4,2
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,1
Conceded
2,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
21 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
11 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 16. · Kristiansund 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 19 17 2 0 +47 53
2 Rosenborg 19 10 5 4 +16 35
3 Odd 19 11 2 6 +8 35
4 Valerenga 20 10 5 5 +6 35
5 Molde 19 11 1 7 +23 34
6 Kristiansund 19 8 7 4 +11 31
7 Viking 19 8 4 7 +0 28
8 Sarpsborg 08 20 8 3 9 +0 27
9 Stabaek 20 6 7 7 -7 25
10 Brann 19 6 5 8 -7 23
11 Sandefjord 19 7 2 10 -9 23
12 Haugesund 19 6 4 9 -8 22
13 Stromsgodset 19 5 7 7 -9 22
14 Start 19 3 6 10 -19 15
15 Mjondalen 20 4 2 14 -21 14
16 Aalesund 19 1 4 14 -31 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Kristiansund
3′
🟨 Christoffer Aasbak
1–0 M. Karlsbakk
S. Nordli
28′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Askar
↦ C. Aasbak
46′
🔁 S. Sørli
↦ B. Bye
53′
F. Pemi 1–1
L. Kalludra
54′
🟨 Faris Pemi Moumbagna
65′
L. Kalludra 1–2
A. Pellegrino
66′
🔁 F. Kastrati
↦ F. Pemi
S. Sno 🔁
↦ Nenass
69′
P. Bizoza 🔁
↦ S. Nordli
77′
I. Uzochukwu 🔁
↦ P. Larsen
77′
80′
🔁 P. Ulvestad
↦ L. Kalludra
Ben Kantie Karamoko 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Flamur Kastrati
S. Tafjord 🔁
↦ M. Karlsbakk
87′
S. Sæthre 🔁
↦ I. Määttä
88′
88′
🔁 C. Psyché
↦ A. Diop
Sigurd Haugen 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Pal Erik Ulvestad
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-3-3
1 A. Lie G
39 B. Karamoko D
18 D. Ólafsson D
6 D. Klinkenberg D
19 P. Larsen M
8 F. Carlsen M
11 S. Nordli M
7 Nenass D
41 M. Karlsbakk F
38 I. Määttä F
22 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
2 S. Sno
20 P. Bizoza
30 I. Uzochukwu
27 S. Tafjord
15 S. Sæthre
25 G. Kongshavn
36 V. Fiskerstrand
4 J. Grønner
3 D. Grétarsson

Coach: L. Nilsen

Kristiansund

4-2-3-1
1 S. McDermott G
3 C. Aasbak D
16 I. Furu D
6 A. Hopmark M
19 A. Coly D
10 L. Kalludra M
22 B. Sørmo D
8 A. Diop M
13 B. Bye M
9 A. Pellegrino M
29 F. Pemi F
Bench (9)
18 A. Askar
7 S. Sørli
11 F. Kastrati
23 P. Ulvestad
4 C. Psyché
17 O. Skarsem
5 D. Ulvestad
25 E. Johansen
26 M. Williamsen

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.