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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Ajax

S T S S T

0–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 72%

74%

70%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

70%

61%

Both score Ø 39%

52%

26%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,8

2,1

Conceded

0,9

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

4 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 1. · AZ Alkmaar 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	23	17	2	4	+45	53
2	AZ Alkmaar	23	16	2	5	+31	50
3	Feyenoord	24	13	8	3	+13	47
4	PSV Eindhoven	25	13	7	5	+25	46
5	Willem II	25	13	5	7	+5	44
6	Utrecht	24	11	5	8	+12	38
7	Vitesse	25	11	5	9	+9	38
8	Groningen	25	10	5	10	+2	35
9	Heracles	25	9	6	10	+4	33
10	Heerenveen	25	8	9	8	+2	33
11	Sparta Rotterdam	25	9	6	10	+0	33
12	FC Emmen	25	8	5	12	-16	29
13	VVV Venlo	25	8	4	13	-24	28
14	Twente	25	7	6	12	-11	27
15	Zwolle	25	7	4	14	-18	25
16	For Sittard	25	6	7	12	-23	25
17	Den Haag	25	4	7	14	-25	19
18	Waalwijk	25	4	3	18	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	11	0	1	+34	33
2	AZ Alkmaar	12	9	1	2	+20	28
3	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+20	27
4	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+12	27
5	FC Emmen	12	8	2	2	+11	26
6	Willem II	13	7	4	2	+8	25
7	Sparta Rotterdam	13	7	3	3	+14	24
8	Heracles	12	7	1	4	+12	22
9	Groningen	12	7	1	4	+8	22
10	Utrecht	11	7	0	4	+14	21
11	Vitesse	12	6	3	3	+8	21
12	For Sittard	12	6	3	3	+5	21
13	Twente	13	5	3	5	+1	18
14	VVV Venlo	13	5	3	5	-7	18
15	Heerenveen	13	3	8	2	+1	17
16	Zwolle	12	5	2	5	-2	17
17	Den Haag	13	2	6	5	-6	12
18	Waalwijk	13	3	2	8	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+11	22
2	Ajax	11	6	2	3	+11	20
3	Feyenoord	12	5	5	2	+1	20
4	PSV Eindhoven	13	5	4	4	+5	19
5	Willem II	12	6	1	5	-3	19
6	Vitesse	13	5	2	6	+1	17
7	Utrecht	13	4	5	4	-2	17
8	Heerenveen	12	5	1	6	+1	16
9	Groningen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
10	Heracles	13	2	5	6	-8	11
11	VVV Venlo	12	3	1	8	-17	10
12	Twente	12	2	3	7	-12	9
13	Sparta Rotterdam	12	2	3	7	-14	9
14	Zwolle	13	2	2	9	-16	8
15	Den Haag	12	2	1	9	-19	7
16	Waalwijk	12	1	1	10	-24	4
17	For Sittard	13	0	4	9	-28	4
18	FC Emmen	13	0	3	10	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.